Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.433472 0.560052 0.697433 0.855616 1.030915 1.217648 1.430096
2025-04-06 0.239937 0.400987 0.596449 0.840826 1.129703 1.453424 1.837409
2025-04-13 0.168606 0.345498 0.578098 0.884134 1.259166 1.690554 2.212688
2025-04-20 0.120075 0.305082 0.567910 0.929272 1.385090 1.919966 2.577054
2025-04-27 0.088266 0.278232 0.567913 0.980959 1.513850 2.148594 2.936878
2025-05-04 0.072270 0.272094 0.593633 1.063910 1.679844 2.420668 3.347082
2025-05-11 0.052865 0.252560 0.595847 1.112676 1.800839 2.637195 3.690730
2025-05-18 0.032054 0.219983 0.573021 1.123612 1.870964 2.790055 3.957278
2025-05-25 0.010582 0.165208 0.505268 1.065099 1.846377 2.823166 4.077546
2025-06-01 0.000897 0.117940 0.439286 1.001912 1.810400 2.838228 4.172738
2025-06-08 NaN 0.089769 0.401201 0.975893 1.821091 2.909384 4.334061
2025-06-15 NaN 0.078084 0.394037 0.996537 1.894876 3.060140 4.592723
2025-06-22 NaN 0.061551 0.373801 0.997866 1.945896 3.187723 4.831063
2025-06-29 NaN 0.043061 0.342063 0.977797 1.966052 3.275865 5.021783
2025-07-06 NaN 0.039974 0.350782 1.025785 2.082994 3.489466 5.368524
2025-07-13 NaN 0.037276 0.359858 1.074233 2.200675 3.704261 5.717138
2025-07-20 NaN 0.036053 0.373168 1.130062 2.329124 3.933310 6.083837
2025-07-27 NaN 0.040326 0.405091 1.219285 2.506574 4.227132 6.532314
2025-08-03 NaN 0.038562 0.416394 1.271651 2.630237 4.450273 6.892124
2025-08-10 NaN 0.031008 0.405471 1.283380 2.694013 4.594285 7.152284
2025-08-17 NaN 0.016088 0.355711 1.220568 2.645738 4.588632 7.222565
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005856 0.306390 1.152610 2.586256 4.565605 7.268817
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001921 0.279423 1.124584 2.584890 4.618696 7.410207